Wednesday, August 17, 2011

Update

Missed some upside this morning (two favorite stocks FCX and MOS up 2-3%) but did not chase and still cautious as it looks like the Euro is failing to break out and drifting lower.  Weak action considering it's at what I consider a pivot point.  The reversal may be aggressive and I expect the market to follow.  Also SPX up 1% but treasuries flat?  Not a bullish sign.

Reasons for a possible Euro reversal:
- tepid growth in the GDP out of Europe yesterday decreases probability of further rate hikes
- PPI higher than expected could lend support to the dollar

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